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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormakesainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$986K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #25was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus51% (34 of 67 open)no open consensus position53% (63 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettakeormakesainttroplayRN1
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $5.3K—Bills $18K
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $205—Cardinals $11K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $51—Under $9.2K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $34—Under $7.2K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.4K—Bills $4.0K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $425—Under $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $1.2K—Cardinals $1.4K
Spread: Cowboys (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $287—Cardinals $2.2K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $78—Under $2.2K
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $38—Titans $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $6—Cardinals $629
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $117—Under $228
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $86—Under $213
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 60.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $20—Under $90
Spread: Bills (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $4—Ravens $93
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $7.8K—Titans $826
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $6.0K—Titans $1.2K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $57—Over $5.4K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $125—Bills $4.0K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $2.6K—Titans $1.1K
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $1.7K—Titans $1.6K
Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $4—Titans $2.2K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3K—Ravens $647
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $910—Titans $696
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $73—Over $1.3K
Spread: Titans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $555—Titans $766
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.0K—Magic $228
Spread: Titans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $77—Titans $655
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $43—Over $434
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $8—Titans $14
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $13—Celtics $3