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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tescat | ndb1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (354–273, n=627) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.1K | $4.1M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (17 of 24 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −7 pts, n=41 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 17% of 584 at avg 18¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 78% (won 3% of 454) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 36% of 39) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 70% of 33) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 90% of 58) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.