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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| topdogbigboi | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (3528–4316, n=7844) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $435 | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (45 of 73 open) | 63% (29 of 46 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 97% of 112) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 257) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 313) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 471) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | topdogbigboi | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $50 | — | — | Chiefs $465K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $235 | — | — | Chiefs $152K |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $261 | No $3.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $250 | Falcons $2.7K | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3 | Over $542 | — | — |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $178 | No $227 | — | — |
| Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $99 | Yes $22 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $410 | Cardinals $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $569 | Steelers $9.1K | — | — |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1 | Under $9.2K | — | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $3 | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $27 | No $2.2K | — | — |
| Will CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $30 | No $5 | — | — |