Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-11-04?
19 of 26 top Polymarket traders hold No (73%) · No at 90¢ · $20K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
26
No 73%
1 arb excluded
$20.2K
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
19 of 26 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 53.6¢ | $6.1K | $8.1K | +$2.0K | 51% 24202-22938 (47140) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Noavg 54.1¢ | $2.8K | $4.6K | -$266.2 | 50% 20715-20970 (41685) |
SL SlickRick123 | Noavg 40¢ | $625.12 | $1.0K | +$377.32 | 48% 5269-5761 (11030) |
GC GC-P | Noavg 55.1¢ | $1.2K | $942.98 | +$304.44 | 39% 1335-2099 (3434) |
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540 | Noavg 67.7¢ | $817.83 | $849.17 | +$31.34 | 82% 2583-573 (3156) |
![]() poshposh | Noavg 47.5¢ | $472.86 | $698.69 | +$225.83 | 57% 12255-9317 (21572) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Noavg 73¢ | $476.73 | $588.02 | +$111.29 | 59% 31848-22485 (54333) |
IW iWasEnough | Noavg 71.4¢ | $549.02 | $548.74 | +$156.8 | 51% 11897-11293 (23190) |
NM NM-P | Noavg 55.9¢ | $590.79 | $463.91 | +$149.88 | 46% 1301-1520 (2821) |
MR MrBently | Noavg 37.7¢ | $192.23 | $458.81 | +$266.58 | 52% 573-520 (1093) |
![]() tradecraft | Noavg 54¢ | $328.38 | $422.33 | +$93.95 | 51% 6273-6027 (12300) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Noavg 56¢ | $223.99 | $359.99 | +$136 | 51% 1789-1707 (3496) |
![]() VeryLucky888 | Noavg 52.3¢ | $869.56 | $273.03 | -$9.58 | 58% 45420-32909 (78329) |
DI dips. | Noavg 35.2¢ | $173.13 | $267.74 | +$97.49 | 47% 10348-11772 (22120) |
LR lryyy | Noavg 45.3¢ | $163.7 | $237.98 | +$74.27 | 47% 9215-10335 (19550) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Yesavg 46.5¢ | $2.5K | $180.28 | $-2.3K | 50% 27765-27628 (55393) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 55.4¢ | $79.3 | $128.74 | +$49.44 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 46.5¢ | $2.4K | $51.54 | $-2.3K | |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 53.1¢ | $49.94 | $84.6 | +$34.66 | 51% 7648-7364 (15012) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Noavg 66¢ | $40.39 | $55.05 | +$14.67 | 66% 23982-12171 (36153) |
AD adururuCTR | Yesavg 50¢ | $904.14 | $18.07 | -$886.08 | 54% 404-350 (754) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR | Yesavg 50.2¢ | $902.44 | $17.97 | -$884.47 | 53% 542-476 (1018) |
![]() rayvanmechelen<$100 | Noavg 51¢ | $10 | $17.64 | +$7.64 | 74% 2420-861 (3281) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 36.2¢ | $17.9 | $9.4 | -$8.5 | 65% 5169-2803 (7972) |
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7<$100 | Noavg 52.2¢ | $5.11 | $8.81 | +$3.69 | 34% 1147-2276 (3423) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 81.5¢ | $56.69 | $6.02 | -$50.67 | 50% 25480-25186 (50666) |
FA fakekyCTR | Yesavg 78.9¢ | $5.0K | $2.5 | $-3.9K | 76% 47-15 (62) |
Invested
$6,135.49
Value
$8.1K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
51%
24202-22938 (47140)
Invested
$2,772.06
Value
$4.6K
PnL
-$266.2
Record
50%
20715-20970 (41685)
Invested
$625.12
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$377.32
Record
48%
5269-5761 (11030)
Invested
$1,218.64
Value
$942.98
PnL
+$304.44
Record
39%
1335-2099 (3434)
Invested
$817.83
Value
$849.17
PnL
+$31.34
Record
82%
2583-573 (3156)
poshposhInvested
$472.86
Value
$698.69
PnL
+$225.83
Record
57%
12255-9317 (21572)
Invested
$476.73
Value
$588.02
PnL
+$111.29
Record
59%
31848-22485 (54333)
Invested
$549.02
Value
$548.74
PnL
+$156.8
Record
51%
11897-11293 (23190)
Invested
$590.79
Value
$463.91
PnL
+$149.88
Record
46%
1301-1520 (2821)
Invested
$192.23
Value
$458.81
PnL
+$266.58
Record
52%
573-520 (1093)
tradecraftInvested
$328.38
Value
$422.33
PnL
+$93.95
Record
51%
6273-6027 (12300)
Invested
$223.99
Value
$359.99
PnL
+$136
Record
51%
1789-1707 (3496)
VeryLucky888Invested
$869.56
Value
$273.03
PnL
-$9.58
Record
58%
45420-32909 (78329)
Invested
$173.13
Value
$267.74
PnL
+$97.49
Record
47%
10348-11772 (22120)
Invested
$163.7
Value
$237.98
PnL
+$74.27
Record
47%
9215-10335 (19550)
Invested
$2,475.74
Value
$180.28
PnL
$-2.3K
Record
50%
27765-27628 (55393)
Both legs:
HRTrading<$100Invested
$49.94
Value
$84.6
PnL
+$34.66
Record
51%
7648-7364 (15012)
Invested
$40.39
Value
$55.05
PnL
+$14.67
Record
66%
23982-12171 (36153)
Invested
$904.14
Value
$18.07
PnL
-$886.08
Record
54%
404-350 (754)
Invested
$902.44
Value
$17.97
PnL
-$884.47
Record
53%
542-476 (1018)
rayvanmechelen<$100Invested
$10
Value
$17.64
PnL
+$7.64
Record
74%
2420-861 (3281)
Invested
$17.9
Value
$9.4
PnL
-$8.5
Record
65%
5169-2803 (7972)
Invested
$5.11
Value
$8.81
PnL
+$3.69
Record
34%
1147-2276 (3423)
Invested
$56.69
Value
$6.02
PnL
-$50.67
Record
50%
25480-25186 (50666)
Invested
$4,999.96
Value
$2.5
PnL
$-3.9K
Record
76%
47-15 (62)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
No — $8.1K
omnibus-076daa
No — $4.6K
SlickRick123
No — $1.0K
GC-P
No — $942.98
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540
No — $849.17

poshposh
No — $698.69
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
No — $588.02
iWasEnough
No — $548.74
NM-P
No — $463.91
MrBently
No — $458.81