Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was AC Milan — but Ferencvárosi TC won instead.
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
Resolved Ferencvárosi TC. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held AC Milan. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
24
AC Milan 37%
$18.0K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 24 top traders (38%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Ferencvárosi TCavg 5.6¢ | $552.64 | $9.9K | +$9.3K | 53% 61386-53697 (115083) |
RO Rocky31 | Ferencvárosi TCavg 29.3¢ | $614.35 | $2.1K | +$1.5K | 74% 1900-652 (2552) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Ferencvárosi TCavg 2.9¢ | $61.35 | $2.1K | +$2.0K | 50% 28445-28348 (56793) |
PU purplegatto | Ferencvárosi TCavg 3.7¢ | $93.09 | $1.6K | +$2.2K | 49% 6296-6455 (12751) |
LU LuckyLoo | Ferencvárosi TCavg 5.2¢ | $42.68 | $820.05 | +$777.37 | 49% 14716-15388 (30104) |
SN SnakeBall | Ferencvárosi TCavg 6.4¢ | $46.33 | $724.71 | +$678.38 | 51% 37678-36905 (74583) |
TO topdogbigboi | Ferencvárosi TCavg 40.7¢ | $248.55 | $572.55 | +$324 | 47% 11740-13459 (25199) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Ferencvárosi TCavg 55.2¢ | $55.95 | $101.28 | +$45.33 | 50% 21199-21466 (42665) |
US User7429<$100 | Ferencvárosi TCavg 7.1¢ | $5.19 | $73.61 | +$68.42 | 56% 9117-7273 (16390) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Ferencvárosi TCavg 4.2¢ | $2.1 | $50 | +$47.9 | 51% 1392-1360 (2752) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Ferencvárosi TCavg 3.4¢ | $1.38 | $40.56 | +$39.18 | 52% 1388-1305 (2693) |
CA CannaeCTR | AC Milanavg 96.2¢ | $1.5K | $21.03 | $-1.5K | 53% 16809-14937 (31746) |
LO looppau<$100 | Ferencvárosi TCavg 99.9¢ | $7.47 | $7.48 | +$0.01 | 99% 12706-101 (12807) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | AC Milanavg 94.1¢ | $15.0K | — | $-10.5K | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | AC Milanavg 93.3¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | 34% 19214-36845 (56059) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | AC Milanavg 0.3¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 53% 23594-20788 (44382) |
HI hi774c<$100 | Ferencvárosi TCavg 3.9¢ | $9.25 | — | +$228 | 46% 5201-6053 (11254) |
PE pelik | Ferencvárosi TCavg 99.9¢ | $2.8K | — | +$2.84 | 99% 4916-70 (4986) |
PA Pan9XCTR | AC Milanavg 74.9¢ | $140.19 | — | -$4.05 | 54% 9742-8135 (17877) |
DI dips.CTR<$100 | AC Milanavg 41.8¢ | $15.72 | — | -$15.72 | 47% 10635-12160 (22795) |
SE sentrioCTR | AC Milanavg 96.8¢ | $714.51 | — | -$714.51 | 50% 25837-25546 (51383) |
 QSQLCTR | AC Milanavg 79.5¢ | $5.9K | — | $-5.9K | 56% 24-19 (43) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Ferencvárosi TCavg 63¢ | $7.56 | — | +$4.44 | 48% 5445-5956 (11401) |
38 38791873984189CTR | AC Milanavg 80.3¢ | $1.2K | — | +$108.66 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
RN1Invested
$552.64
Value
$9.9K
PnL
+$9.3K
Record
53%
61386-53697 (115083)
Invested
$614.35
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
74%
1900-652 (2552)
Invested
$61.35
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
50%
28445-28348 (56793)
Invested
$93.09
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$2.2K
Record
49%
6296-6455 (12751)
Invested
$42.68
Value
$820.05
PnL
+$777.37
Record
49%
14716-15388 (30104)
Invested
$46.33
Value
$724.71
PnL
+$678.38
Record
51%
37678-36905 (74583)
Invested
$248.55
Value
$572.55
PnL
+$324
Record
47%
11740-13459 (25199)
Invested
$55.95
Value
$101.28
PnL
+$45.33
Record
50%
21199-21466 (42665)
Invested
$5.19
Value
$73.61
PnL
+$68.42
Record
56%
9117-7273 (16390)
Invested
$2.1
Value
$50
PnL
+$47.9
Record
51%
1392-1360 (2752)
Invested
$1.38
Value
$40.56
PnL
+$39.18
Record
52%
1388-1305 (2693)
Invested
$1,532.35
Value
$21.03
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
53%
16809-14937 (31746)
Invested
$7.47
Value
$7.48
PnL
+$0.01
Record
99%
12706-101 (12807)
Invested
$14,985.01
Value
—
PnL
$-10.5K
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
34%
19214-36845 (56059)
Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
53%
23594-20788 (44382)
Invested
$9.25
Value
—
PnL
+$228
Record
46%
5201-6053 (11254)
Invested
$2,840.38
Value
—
PnL
+$2.84
Record
99%
4916-70 (4986)
Invested
$140.19
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
54%
9742-8135 (17877)
Invested
$15.72
Value
—
PnL
-$15.72
Record
47%
10635-12160 (22795)
Invested
$714.51
Value
—
PnL
-$714.51
Record
50%
25837-25546 (51383)
QSQLCTRInvested
$5,907.62
Value
—
PnL
$-5.9K
Record
56%
24-19 (43)
Invested
$7.56
Value
—
PnL
+$4.44
Record
48%
5445-5956 (11401)
Invested
$1,212.65
Value
—
PnL
+$108.66
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Ferencvárosi TC — $9.9K
Rocky31
Ferencvárosi TC — $2.1K
GoalLineGhost
Ferencvárosi TC — $2.1K
purplegatto
Ferencvárosi TC — $1.6K
LuckyLoo
Ferencvárosi TC — $820.05
SnakeBall
Ferencvárosi TC — $724.71
topdogbigboi
Ferencvárosi TC — $572.55
omnibus-076daa
Ferencvárosi TC — $101.28
User7429
Ferencvárosi TC — $73.61
Venusian
Ferencvárosi TC — $50