← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 35% (511–968, n=1479) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $44K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (74 of 113 open) | 45% (15 of 33 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −1 pts, n=322 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 71% (won 5% of 1111) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 12% (won 42% of 185) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 9% (won 91% of 144) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.