Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4BiggggggggBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market41% (1385–2018, n=3403)46% (560–665, n=1225)
Consensus PnL——$650K$11.2M
Tracked as——PM monthly #10PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position85% (902 of 1062 open)48% (10 of 21 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Economy −5 pts, n=106—
Settled positions, side won——67% of 3627 at avg 66¢, ROI 0%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 7% of 1043)10% (won 81% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢——5% (won 43% of 177)36% (won 98% of 201)
Entries 50–70¢——5% (won 67% of 176)35% (won 99% of 196)
Entries 70¢ and up——62% (won 97% of 2231)19% (won 100% of 109)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00beachboy4BiggggggggBreakTheBank
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $17KYes $22K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $23KYes $15K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $21KYes $3.6K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5.9KYes $16K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $18KYes $1.0K
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $19KYes $25
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $15KYes $2.2K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $6.2KYes $164
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5.3KYes $28
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $357Yes $3.3K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $765K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
——No $7.9KNo $12K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $807No $16K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $1.1KNo $15K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $1.0K