Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (459–652, n=1111)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$22K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (19 of 35 open)75% (142 of 189 open)63% (33 of 52 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicWeather −1 pts, n=844Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won60% of 1502 at avg 60¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 1% of 561)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 43)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 64% of 44)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 99% of 854)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658FlaznorpRN1
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $2
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17KNo $227
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $851Under $8
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $81Warriors $500
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $444Warriors $107
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $47No $361
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $122Over $99
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $9No $200
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104Over $13
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus Clube do Remo
—SE Palmeiras $29KSE Palmeiras $15K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato
—Marco Cecchinato $4.5KMarco Cecchinato $34K
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
—James Kent Trotter $1.1KJames Kent Trotter $25K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.0KNo $143
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.2KNo $165
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
—Blu Baker $3.7KBlu Baker $289
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $3.1KSE Palmeiras $748
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KOver $501
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $760
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $770
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $634
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KOver $870
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $656No $685
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $578Over $289
Rubio Nu leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $462No $267
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $325Canucks $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8Under $313
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42