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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (466–532, n=998) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $33K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #736 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (265 of 358 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 67% (172 of 256 open) | 61% (110 of 180 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −1 pts, n=844 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1502 at avg 60¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 1% of 561) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 43) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 64% of 44) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 99% of 854) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.2K | Over $69 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $317 | No $2.6K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $349 | — | Yes $2.5K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.9K | Under $444 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | — | Maxwell McKennon $823 | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.1K | Over $375 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $713 | Over $268 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Wizards $220 | Hawks $678 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $213 | No $677 |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | — | Yes $634 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $304 | Thunder $273 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | — | Hawks $237 | Wizards $98 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | Pacers $215 | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $124 | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $123 | Over $86 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $32 | Pacers $139 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $27 | Kings $129 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3 | Over $149 |
| Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $20 | Yes $10 |
| Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $20 | Yes $5 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $16K | No $5.9K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | — | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $3.5K | Yes $5.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $7.5K | Celtics $215 | — |
| Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.3K | No $765 |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.6K | No $2.6K |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $1.4K | Bianca Andreescu $3.2K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $82 | — | No $4.3K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | — | Juan Carlos Prado $206 | Juan Carlos Prado $3.1K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.9K | No $257 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $42 | No $1.3K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $2 | — | No $1.1K | — |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $968 | Over $132 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $776 | 76ers $240 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $931 | Over $52 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $720 | Over $165 |
| Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $428 | No $352 |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | — | Solana Sierra $286 | Solana Sierra $476 |