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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (466–532, n=998)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$33K$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #736PM monthly #16PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (265 of 358 open)67% (172 of 256 open)75% (3 of 4 open)61% (110 of 180 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicWeather −1 pts, n=844Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won60% of 1502 at avg 60¢, ROI +1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 1% of 561)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 43)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 64% of 44)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 99% of 854)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658FlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.2K—Over $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $349Yes $2.5K——
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.9K—Under $444
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
—Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220—Hawks $678
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11Yes $634——
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $444Ball State $18—
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $237—Wizards $98
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $32—Pacers $139
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $129
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3—Over $149
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $10
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 0 CR Vasco da Gama?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $5
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $5.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.5K—Yes $5.1K
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.3K—No $765
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.6K—No $2.6K
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $1.4K—Bianca Andreescu $3.2K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $82No $4.3K——
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Juan Carlos Prado $206—Juan Carlos Prado $3.1K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $26—Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2No $1.1K——
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $968—Over $132
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $776—76ers $240
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $931—Over $52
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $720—Over $165
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
same side · consensus No
—No $428—No $352
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286—Solana Sierra $476