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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954656kke1tFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)no settled market75% (741–246, n=987)55% (201–167, n=368)
Consensus PnL-$493K—$70K$227K
Tracked asPM monthly #11—PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)no open consensus position68% (89 of 131 open)69% (48 of 70 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)—34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)—19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)—13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)—34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954656kke1tFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $2.0K—Dartmouth Big Green $424Dartmouth Big Green $301
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93—Vikings $6Vikings $1.9K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $19Bucks $3.2K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $65Under $1.0K
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $190Celtics $399
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines
——Marquette Golden Eagles $13Michigan Wolverines $516
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $123Rockets $82
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $3.2KKansas City Roos $2.1K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $239Over $4.9K
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $48Under $4.7K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $108Over $2.7K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $83Under $2.7K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $93Over $2.4K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $100Over $2.3K
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $1.4KRockets $838
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $367Bucks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $218Cavaliers $915
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $17Over $430
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $117Kansas City Roos $277
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $192Under $183
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $201Raptors $19
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $3Rockets $56