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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)58% (4527–3305, n=7832)45% (572–710, n=1282)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15524–15621, n=31145)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$5.3M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #62
Sides with the consensus73% (22 of 30 open)82% (27 of 33 open)no open consensus position53% (66 of 124 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K—Yes $167
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $53K——
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Utah $8.5K——Canadiens $59
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $258—Under $422
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $241K——Bilibili Gaming $13K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $192K——
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $143K——Magic $310
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $74K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K——Yes $2.4K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22K—Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $223
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11K——Over $32
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $5.6KRavens $287——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.2K—Yes $60
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $59
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $33——Dplus KIA $520
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70——Yes $330
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28—Yes $41
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $26——Yes $15