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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465EgorkasxxFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3318, n=7854)no settled market52% (6582–6102, n=12684)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19—PM monthly #10PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)no open consensus position78% (99 of 127 open)55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465EgorkasxxFlaznorpRN1
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $337—Warriors $5.0KWarriors $380
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $3.6K—Warriors $4.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $494—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
——Diletta Cherubini $281Ipek Oz $698
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $403K—Warriors $5.2K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KUnder $453
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.2KUnder $384
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
——Katie Swan $851Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $1.8KHeat $162
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $1.3KWarriors $85
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $1.1K——Warriors $93
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
——Han Shi $681Han Shi $177
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42