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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpFuture-Tarot-TraderRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)73% (270–98, n=368)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$326K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #16was PM monthly #607PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)64% (175 of 273 open)50% (2 of 4 open)57% (117 of 207 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%90% of 410 at avg 74¢, ROI +12%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)11% (won 18% of 45)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)3% (won 86% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)13% (won 96% of 54)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)72% (won 100% of 297)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpFuture-Tarot-TraderRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan $620Eastern Michigan $333—Central Michigan $3.8K
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3KYes $1.1K—Yes $154
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $194Under $105—Over $84
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4KArthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.7KRaptors $383—Raptors $246
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $40—Under $371
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will Club Guarani Asuncion win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.1K—Yes $4.8K
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.2K—Over $69
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $1.1KHawks $3.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $196—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.4K—No $163
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu
—Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pistons $1.2K76ers $46——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $977—No $5
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436Bucks $249——
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $365Under $227——
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $557—Over $6
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $237—Wizards $98
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $253
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $90—Over $90
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $32—Pacers $139
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $166—Under $4
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4—Pelicans $126
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—76ers $9—Pistons $109
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25—Yes $80
Hornets vs. Nets
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $43Hornets $5——
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs underw0rld (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Isurus
—underw0rld $1Isurus $42—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $49KThunder $223——
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $41KPistons $2.8K——
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $13K——Central Michigan $567
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8K—No $2.6K
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $1.4K—Bianca Andreescu $3.2K
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $1.9K
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.2K—Under $78
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.0K—No $55
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $2.7K—76ers $240