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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpPan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–66, n=125)75% (730–246, n=976)74% (355–125, n=480)66% (476–241, n=717)
Consensus PnL-$292K$69K-$4.1K-$145K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14was PM monthly #979PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)67% (55 of 82 open)53% (32 of 60 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +24 pts n=49, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +29 pts n=10, ROI +26%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 75 at avg 76¢, ROI +22%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)11% (won 100% of 8)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)24% (won 100% of 18)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)64% (won 100% of 48)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpPan9XRN1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $90KG2 $2MOUZ $12—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
opposite sides · consensus Alex Bolt
Alafia Ayeni $23KAlafia Ayeni $2.3KAlex Bolt $43—
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
opposite sides · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $811—Teodora Miron $422
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $806Pedro Martinez $9—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542Raiders $16—
Commanders vs. Giants
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $23Commanders $39—
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1549ers $44—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Bulls $4Spurs $17—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KKarolina Muchova $34—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958Alexander Shevchenko $28—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $838Lorenzo Sonego $68—
Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta
same side · consensus Felix Gill
—Felix Gill $649Felix Gill $116—
W35 Heraklion: Giulia Safina Popa vs Maria Golovina
same side · consensus Giulia Safina Popa
—Giulia Safina Popa $288—Giulia Safina Popa $332
Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Zsombor Piros $530Zsombor Piros $58—
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $390Sumit Nagal $22—
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
same side · consensus Johannus Monday
—Francesco Maestrelli $114Francesco Maestrelli $16—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90—Vikings $36—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $38—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $11—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3Rockets $12—