Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1spartacray
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$14.8M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #17PM monthly #26 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus56% (14 of 25 open)66% (268 of 409 open)64% (176 of 276 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

89 on the same side, 62 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1spartacray
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $46KNo $6.5K—
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $980Over $6.0KOver $205—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270KNo $40KNo $6.5K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $87KNo $101KNo $4.4K—
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $315No $50KNo $15K—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8KNo $40KNo $9.8K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4KArthur Fils $5.6KArthur Fils $11K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248Under $40Under $371—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $59KYes $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $13K—
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KNo $9.0K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10KOver $12—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.3KNo $8.8K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.1KNo $8.8K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.6KUnder $12—
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.2KNo $66—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $380No $7.4K—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KOver $3.1K—
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.5KUnder $8—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.5KUnder $1.9K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $403No $5.7K—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Slavia Praha
—SK Slavia Praha $5.6KArsenal FC $75—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.5K—No $1.5K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $83No $4.6K—
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $1.6K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $628No $3.9K—
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KOver $16—
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
—Tomas Barrios $134Lautaro Midon $4.0K—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.6KNo $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $2.6K—
Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7KNo $4—
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KEduardo Ribeiro $1.5K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.3KYes $35—
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KNo $734—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KUnder $29—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KUnder $6—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $36No $1.5K—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $189No $1.4K—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $23No $1.5K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $244No $1.3K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $18No $1.5K—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KNo $101—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $238—
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $918No $273—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $19—