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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bot-rapinBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)100% (5–0, n=5)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$39K$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #500PM monthly #2PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus67% (18 of 27 open)65% (13 of 20 open)84% (27 of 32 open)71% (129 of 182 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%100% of 3 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)0%35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)0%35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)100% (won 100% of 3)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bot-rapinBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5K—Yes $55K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K——Under $254
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $6.1K—No $395
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $499
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5.8K—No $319
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.2K—No $312
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.2K—No $237
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $347—No $628
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $574—No $357
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $105—No $624
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $45K—Ravens $292K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K—Ravens $194K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45—No $72K—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K—Ravens $293—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7K——Utah $327
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $2.4K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4K—No $2.3K
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4K——East Texas A&M Lions $397