Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)85% (5221–893, n=6114)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$5.6M$14.8M$25K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #709
Sides with the consensus70% (16 of 23 open)no open consensus position64% (127 of 200 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1youcanbuythisbot
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $234
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $86
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $833
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $529Yes $18
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357—Under $157—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $47
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268K—No $6.3K—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265K—No $6.5K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $5.3K—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K—Laura Samson $5.5K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155—Under $2.7K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KRayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $5
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251—Under $379—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $382Over $23
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194—Over $81—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $162Yes $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $20Under $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1