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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)46% (572–659, n=1231)45% (546–663, n=1209)no settled market
Consensus PnL$85K$11.2M—
Tracked asPM monthly #41PM monthly #2—
Sides with the consensus71% (284 of 400 open)67% (34 of 51 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=286——
Settled positions, side won61% of 1803 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%—
Entries under 30¢36% (won 1% of 648)10% (won 81% of 57)—
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 40% of 55)36% (won 98% of 201)—
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 69% of 45)35% (won 99% of 196)—
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 99% of 1055)19% (won 100% of 109)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1Yes $378K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6Yes $124K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $20Yes $50K—
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $11Yes $22K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $200No $7.5K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6Yes $6.2K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0KYes $3.1K—
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6Yes $4.1K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $490Yes $3.1K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3KYes $56—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $72Yes $602—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $59Yes $311—
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $51No $2—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
No $860No $327K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4KYes $241K—
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $64No $42K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $911No $31K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $44No $3.4K—