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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (1041–738, n=1779) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 48% (19707–21460, n=41167) |
| Consensus PnL | $286K | $8.4M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #889 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (91 of 157 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 71% (68 of 96 open) | 53% (16 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −8 pts, n=41 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 5% of 502) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 38% of 99) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 65% of 130) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 96% of 771) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.