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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 35% (507–954, n=1461) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $41K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (43 of 63 open) | 41% (12 of 29 open) | 66% (25 of 38 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −1 pts, n=322 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 71% (won 5% of 1111) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 12% (won 42% of 185) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 9% (won 91% of 144) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.