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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (5570–5158, n=10728)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL—$557K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #96PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (83 of 117 open)71% (125 of 177 open)60% (27 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 19% of 1341)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 46% of 3607)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 61% of 3523)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 86% of 1699)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Bruins vs. Penguins
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Bruins $7.2KPenguins $275—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
——Thiago Seyboth Wild $1.2KFranco Roncadelli $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $81Warriors $500
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Heat $444Warriors $107
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
——James Kent Trotter $830James Kent Trotter $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
—UTSA $6.1K—UTSA $747
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.8KOver $2.4K
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
——Blu Baker $3.7KBlu Baker $289
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $299No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $656No $685
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $935Under $322
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
——Canucks $22Canucks $1.2K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $923Under $35—
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $281No $610
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $578Over $289
Rubio Nu leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $462No $267
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
——Canucks $147Canucks $354
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $259Yes $86
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $8Under $313
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $174Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
——No $148No $33
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $18Under $11