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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825FlaznorpHomeRunHazardRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (743–249, n=992)55% (201–167, n=368)66% (480–244, n=724)
Consensus PnL—$70K$227K-$148K
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #45 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (89 of 131 open)70% (50 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 9% of 66)1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—27% (won 45% of 56)32% (won 100% of 31)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 68% of 28)57% (won 100% of 55)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 97% of 61)10% (won 100% of 10)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825FlaznorpHomeRunHazardRN1
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $19Bucks $3.5K—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $65Under $1.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $362Celtics $407—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $120Rockets $83—
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
—Kansas City Roos $3.2KKansas City Roos $2.1K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $218Over $4.9K—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $2.6K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $93Over $2.6K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $90Over $2.3K—
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.5KRockets $850—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $86Over $2.2K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $6Vikings $1.8K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $359Bucks $1.4K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $182Cavaliers $766—
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
—Dartmouth Big Green $424Dartmouth Big Green $304—
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $430—
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
—Kansas City Roos $115Kansas City Roos $274—
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $184—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $217Raptors $19—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $4Rockets $58—