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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x87a718...408ceaBreakTheBankRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (616–869, n=1485)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$151$8.4M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #1PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)88% (29 of 33 open)59% (16 of 27 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x87a718...408ceaBreakTheBankRN1S-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $136K——No $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $54—Over $3.0K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $788—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $257—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19—No $524—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47—Yes $7—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5—Under $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $21—Over $360—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $240—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24—Under $20—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $41—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—