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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3698–311, n=4009)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)65% (896–472, n=1368)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)
Consensus PnL$89K$3.3M$4.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #22PM monthly #100PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)78% (131 of 167 open)76% (31 of 41 open)64% (43 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.4K
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika
opposite sides · consensus Omar Jasika
Omar Jasika $20——Jake Delaney $6.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $552—Over $133
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $811—Quentin Halys $1.2K
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $1.8K—Lakers $16
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $398
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.8K—Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $23
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $668—Under $201
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249—Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Charles Broom
Alexandre Muller $51——Alexandre Muller $25