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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (15011–12445, n=27456)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)
Consensus PnL$346K$6.1M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #141was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (234 of 373 open)100% (1 of 1 open)59% (67 of 113 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +18 pts n=2719, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=671, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=123NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won47% of 13889 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 11% of 7196)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 60% of 1788)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 89% of 1712)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 3193)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495beachboy4BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $67—Yes $82K
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3K—Yes $77K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $420—Yes $61K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.0K—Yes $53K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3K—Yes $26K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $745—Yes $24K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $38—Yes $13K
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5—No $2.5K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20—No $794
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K—No $71K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $14—Yes $34K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $444—Yes $12K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $209—No $12K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $47—Yes $28