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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)55% (15012–12447, n=27459)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$346K$6.1M$11.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #147was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (303 of 479 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (40 of 67 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +18 pts n=2719, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=671, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Economy −1 pts, n=123NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%47% of 13889 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%52% (won 11% of 7196)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢0%13% (won 60% of 1788)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)12% (won 89% of 1712)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)
Entries 70¢ and up0%23% (won 98% of 3193)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495beachboy4BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $57—No $331K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $17—Yes $287K
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3K—Yes $77K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $787—Yes $66K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.8K—Yes $54K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $19—No $52K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.7K—Yes $38K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $38—Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $69—Yes $3.6K
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $56—No $2.4K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $20—No $794
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $245—Yes $418
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $1.6M
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $400—Yes $236K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $203—No $125K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $290—Yes $88K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $42K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $49—Yes $43K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $24—Yes $40K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $74—Yes $36K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $34—Yes $33K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $476—Yes $12K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $208—No $12K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $607
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2—Yes $216
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $47—Yes $28