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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f48486CORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)8% (7–86, n=93)61% (393–247, n=640)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (537–652, n=1189)
Consensus PnL-$53K$4.5M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus87% (85 of 98 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)85% (53 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=32, ROI −32%
  • Tennis +3 pts n=21, ROI −16%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won83% of 69 at avg 77¢, ROI −33%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 8% of 13)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢0%56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up80% (won 100% of 55)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf475402430f3dc9611abeea737fe69dd02f48486CORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $241——No $407K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $744——Yes $13K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $312——Yes $1.3K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K——Yes $280K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $157——Yes $22K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $126——Yes $22K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $427——Yes $15K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $102——Yes $13K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $181——Yes $2.6K
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15——Yes $1.8K
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4——Yes $374
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30——Yes $296
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5——Yes $273
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2——Yes $200
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1——Yes $200
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1——Yes $200
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1——Yes $200
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1——Yes $200
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2——Yes $171