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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorppelikRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3642–6653, n=10295)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)99% (4767–14, n=4781)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$88K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #558PM monthly #19PM monthly #466PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (18 of 28 open)74% (119 of 160 open)no open consensus position56% (31 of 55 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Finance +8 pts n=16, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=20, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 3413 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)0%22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)0% (won 100% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)100% (won 100% of 3409)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorppelikRN1
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Marco Cecchinato $68KThiago Monteiro $3.6K—Marco Cecchinato $32K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K—Over $1.6K
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
Andres Andrade $1.4KJames Kent Trotter $300—James Kent Trotter $112
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3Under $8—Under $323
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras $39KSE Palmeiras $29K—SE Palmeiras $14K
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $16KAlice Tubello $4.6K—Alice Tubello $17K
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.2KUnder $4—Under $156
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28K—Yes $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.3K—No $9
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.1K—No $104
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.8KOver $438——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Will Rubio Nu win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $885—Yes $99
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $886—Under $81
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $789—Yes $16
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $208—Ipek Oz $494
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $318—No $359
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $79—Warriors $505
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $109
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40—No $182
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $141—Over $69
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104—Over $18
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25—Yes $2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7K—No $145
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.3K—Over $411
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $2.9K—SE Palmeiras $665
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3K—Over $751
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.8K—Over $198
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1K—Over $826
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $613—No $353
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $538—Under $35
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $128—Under $271
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138—Yes $192
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174—Warriors $97
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34—Under $225
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $120—No $12