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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5783–6970, n=12753) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.0K | $11.0M | $5.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (65 of 156 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $857 | No $253K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.7K | Yes $31K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.3K | Yes $18K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie $3.1K | — | — | Matteo Arnaldi $445 |
| Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ian Luca Vertberger opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Gagliardo | Lorenzo Gagliardo $341 | — | — | Ian Luca Vertberger $48 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $241 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.0K | No $114K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $13 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | Yes $83K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $599 | No $30K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $861 | Yes $29K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $85 | No $25K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $952 | — | — | No $7.7K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo $109 | — | — | Juan Manuel Cerundolo $584 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus Yes | No $111 | — | — | No $232 |