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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
38791873984189beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (6330–7513, n=13843)67% (43–21, n=64)47% (14225–15839, n=30064)
Consensus PnL-$131K$5.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943was PM monthly #24PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus47% (182 of 391 open)100% (2 of 2 open)62% (31 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=391NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 7% of 326)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢64% (won 48% of 1149)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 64% of 162)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 90% of 164)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market38791873984189beachboy4RN1
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Athletic Club $22—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $163—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $1.5K
Chennai Open: Aliona Falei vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Magda Linette
Magda Linette $299—Aliona Falei $954
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Tsung-Hao Huang
opposite sides · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $962—Tsung-Hao Huang $95
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Katherine Hui
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $879—Katherine Hui $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $101—Over $382
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $137—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $2
Bratislava 2: Mika Brunold vs Michael Vrbensky
opposite sides · consensus Mika Brunold
Michael Vrbensky $65—Mika Brunold $17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3Yes $65—
Chennai Open: Jeline Vandromme vs Kyoka Okamura
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
Jeline Vandromme $961—Jeline Vandromme $8.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $465—Over $2.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $74—Under $1.7K
Rolex Paris Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Etcheverry
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $176—Tomas Etcheverry $524
W50 Heraklion: Lia Karatancheva vs Eliska Tichackova
same side · consensus Eliska Tichackova
Eliska Tichackova $93—Eliska Tichackova $466
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Ziga Sesko
same side · consensus Ziga Sesko
Ziga Sesko $251—Ziga Sesko $45
W50 Heraklion: Astrid Lew Yan Foon vs Ruth Roura Llaverias
same side · consensus Ruth Roura Llaverias
Ruth Roura Llaverias $145—Ruth Roura Llaverias $149
W50 Heraklion: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Sofia Shapatava
same side · consensus Lucia Cortez Llorca
Lucia Cortez Llorca $137—Lucia Cortez Llorca $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $116—Yes $7