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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AnonymousUsername | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (4207–1587, n=5794) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $459K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (105 of 147 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 5270 at avg 56¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 74% of 285) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 100% of 1965) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 1803) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 1217) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AnonymousUsername | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2.9K | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.8K | — | Yes $82K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.0K | — | Yes $51K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $17K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $218 | — | No $40K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $3.1K | — | Magic $24K | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $6 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $19K | — | Commanders $230K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $92 | — | Chiefs $152K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $102K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $173 | — | Yes $56K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $2.0K | — | Commanders $43K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | Yes $4.7K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $39 | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $648 | — | Yes $1.1K | — |