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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BTCGambler247RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)72% (209–83, n=292)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$392K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus81% (47 of 58 open)61% (91 of 148 open)70% (57 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +39 pts n=90, ROI +42%
  • NHL +41 pts n=12, ROI +46%
  • Geopolitics +20 pts n=68, ROI +20%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won91% of 258 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 61% of 31)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 89% of 44)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 92% of 77)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 106)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBTCGambler247RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $8.1KSteelers $91Browns $300K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15KBills $37Bills $35K
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Ravens $727Bills $387K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $3.6KBrowns $259K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $264—No $253K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $370—No $202K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $257Raiders $105K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $65—Yes $71K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $21Cardinals $32K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.6KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $644Cardinals $2.7K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.9K—Yes $274K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23K—Yes $4.4K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K—Yes $20K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $652—Yes $2.5K