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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bet1nthedarkprimmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)88% (160–21, n=181)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$24K$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus93% (13 of 14 open)54% (21 of 39 open)56% (90 of 161 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won92% of 165 at avg 85¢, ROI +6%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 5)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 67% of 9)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 85% of 13)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up84% (won 97% of 138)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBet1nthedarkprimmRN1S-Works
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Panthers $6.6KBroncos $39K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $285Rams $14K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $133Rams $10K—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $1.2KLions $6.9K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $131Giants $7.3K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $97Over $5.2K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $99—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.6KOver $142—
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $2.6K—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $958Browns $1.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $94Cowboys $2.4K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $267Lions $787—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $48KChiefs $13K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $47KLions $2.7K—
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $11KDolphins $2.4K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $3.4KEagles $889—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K—
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $236—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $924Over $657—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16Saints $1.4K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $14—