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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCORGIIRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus72% (73 of 102 open)0% (0 of 4 open)53% (62 of 117 open)46% (31 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)8% (won 59% of 872)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)21% (won 86% of 2312)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)38% (won 94% of 4141)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)32% (won 99% of 3484)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1omnibus-076daa
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4KCowboys $131
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.5KUnder $18K
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
——Wilson Leite $12KAndre Souza $1.0K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $7.0KUnder $1.6K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
—Imperial $7.9K—DENDELE CS $81
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich
——Liam Draxl $5.2KDylan Dietrich $36
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
——Ozan Baris $4.0KJangjun Kim $951
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $4.0KRavens $80
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $4.0KRavens $18
Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.1KYes $21
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $228Over $573
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $102No $110
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
——Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $272K——Yes $2.9K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $77K——Yes $1.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $73K——Yes $116
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $51K—Bills $18K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $51K—Magic $228—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28K——Yes $2.9K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $13K—Magic $161—
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $19
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.7KNo $77
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $108Yes $5.1K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.2KUnder $290
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $516No $90
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $526Over $59
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
——Shunsuke Mitsui $5Shunsuke Mitsui $452
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $30Under $160
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $54Yes $5