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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTS
Record (consensus markets)45% (546–663, n=1209)52% (5336–4904, n=10240)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$672K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus68% (39 of 57 open)72% (81 of 112 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −1 pts, n=164
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 10253 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 19% of 1347)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)35% (won 46% of 3634)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)35% (won 61% of 3558)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)17% (won 86% of 1714)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTS
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $84No $98K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22KNo $4.8K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $4.2K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $4.8K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $13K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $240KYes $34K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $55KNo $20K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21KYes $2.8K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KYes $5.3K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $376
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80Yes $1.6K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KYes $96
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31Yes $534
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $164Yes $56