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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) | 67% (182–89, n=271) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 76% (104 of 136 open) | 52% (17 of 33 open) | 51% (124 of 241 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 12% (won 36% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 14% (won 92% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 62% (won 99% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | — | — | Yes $813 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $1.2K | Warriors $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $466 | No $529 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | Diletta Cherubini $281 | Ipek Oz $698 | — |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro | — | Mio Mushika $2 | Kanon Sawashiro $48 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot same side · consensus Harold Mayot | — | Harold Mayot $1.2K | Harold Mayot $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | — | Warriors $510 | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $821 | Warriors $2.6K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | Under $245 | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | Under $338 | — |
| W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao same side · consensus Katie Swan | — | Katie Swan $851 | Katie Swan $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz same side · consensus Han Shi | — | Han Shi $514 | Han Shi $255 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $622 | Warriors $87 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | Yes $192 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | Under $42 | — |