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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 87% (2315–349, n=2664) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $4.2M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #96 | was PM monthly #1000 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (17 of 28 open) | 62% (152 of 244 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 57% (32 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 2% (won 95% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 32% (won 98% of 321) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 51% (won 98% of 507) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 14% (won 98% of 138) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | Pelicans $276 | — | Pelicans $2 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $343 | Pacers $256 | — | Pacers $10 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $330K | Pacers $3.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | Pelicans $29 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $169 |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $12K | — | No $8 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $2.8K | — | Bucks $1 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.8K | — | — | Wizards $10 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | Juan Carlos Prado $844 | — | Gustavo Heide $10 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $390 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $595 | — | Kings $9 |
| Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $594 | — | Over $8 |
| Longwood Lancers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks opposite sides · consensus Saint Joseph's Hawks | — | Saint Joseph's Hawks $424 | — | Longwood Lancers $5 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $303 | — | Over $5 |
| Will Club Atletico La Paz win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $187 | — | Yes $116 |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $100 | — | Under $3 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $61K | Jazz $520 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $944 | Pistons $973 | — | — |
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Over $9 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | No $1 |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $194 | — | Yes $749 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $865 | — | No $10 |
| Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $683 | — | No $10 |
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sydney FC | — | Sydney FC $670 | — | Sydney FC $10 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $519 | — | Over $10 |
| Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $468 | — | No $10 |
| Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5) same side · consensus América de Cali | — | Millonarios FC $299 | — | Millonarios FC $153 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Cavaliers $8 |
| FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $296 | — | Over $3 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $197 | — | Under $7 |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $70 | — | Over $111 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Under $10 |
| Will Barakaldo CF win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $24 | — | No $4 |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $10 | — | Over $10 |