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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMigRodromnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)39% (14–22, n=36)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$115K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #218PM monthly #55PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)40% (2 of 5 open)54% (103 of 189 open)65% (113 of 174 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 14 at avg 35¢, ROI +64%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)36% (won 100% of 5)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)57% (won 100% of 8)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)0%38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)7% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMigRodromnibus-076daaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
——Alex de Minaur $1.3KTomas Etcheverry $56K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $15K—Yes $2.1K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
—Ignacio Buse $2.7KDaniil Medvedev $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
——Alexandre Aubriot $2.5KHenri Haupt $54
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $149—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
——Eric Vanshelboim $663Ignacio Parisca $302
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $663
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
——Bruno Pujol Navarro $67Iliyan Radulov $612
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
——Robert Guna $24Tomas Curras Abasolo $319
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $106Under $31
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
——Lisa Pigato $46Gaia Maduzzi $56
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
opposite sides · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
——Daria Yesypchuk $12Carlota Martinez Cirez $42
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $10KLorenzo Musetti $53K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $37KNo $11—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $16K—Yes $1.6K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $29Over $7.8K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Joanna Garland $1.2KJoanna Garland $5.3K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.2KYes $458
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
——Alex Molcan $26Alex Molcan $1.1K
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
same side · consensus Pia Lovric
——Pia Lovric $37Pia Lovric $250
W50 Heraklion: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
——Nuria Brancaccio $94Nuria Brancaccio $15
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—