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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 46% (1103–1294, n=2397) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | -$13K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #589 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 70% (114 of 162 open) | 64% (181 of 282 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | — | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | — | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
42 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $5.1K | Yes $32K |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $5.7K | No $6.5K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $3.2K | No $1.1K | No $6.5K |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $327K | — | Yes $48K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | No $148 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $350 | Yes $29K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | No $13K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Tomas Machac $128 | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $270 | No $5.0K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $15 | Over $3.1K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $267 | No $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $1.5K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $1.5K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $185 | Over $2.3K |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $5 | No $1.7K |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $104 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $427 | Yes $378 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $668 | Yes $2 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $327 | Thunder $273 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 0 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $499 | Yes $15 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $331 | Yes $143 |
| Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $333 | Yes $80 |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $382 | Yes $19 |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $295 | Yes $35 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $166 | Under $147 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $179 | Under $120 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $180 | Over $90 |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $47 | Over $205 |
| Exact Score: FC Porto 2 - 3 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $158 | Yes $12 |
| Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $72 | No $4 |
| Exact Score: Viking FK 3 - 1 Sabah FK? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $38 | Yes $6 |
| Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $279 | No $14K |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $960 | No $9.8K |
| Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | No $9.0K |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | No $7.5K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $847 | Under $7.0K |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $193 | No $7.4K |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $819 | Yes $6.5K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | No $4.4K |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | No $3.9K |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | No $3.4K |
| Will Sabah FK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $911 | No $2.9K |
| Exact Score: FC Porto 3 - 3 SSC Napoli? same side · consensus No | — | No $173 | No $3.4K |
| Will PSV vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $102 | No $2.5K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $861 | No $1.7K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $628 | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $221 | No $1.5K |
| Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $234 | Under $1.5K |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $43 | No $1.4K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? same side · consensus No | — | No $38 | No $1.3K |