Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpNM-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)83% (5437–1150, n=6587)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$47K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #516PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus84% (26 of 31 open)72% (97 of 135 open)68% (48 of 71 open)61% (44 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 100% of 256)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 859)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 884)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2087)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpNM-PRN1
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5K—Heat $279Warriors $510
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $502Under $169Under $338
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $5.0K—Magic $644
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.7K—Magic $376
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $601——Jaguars $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $1.2K—Suns $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3K——Jaguars $174
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.0K—Magic $180
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $24—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $55—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $915Under $27—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $621No $144—
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $402Notre Dame $358—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553No $40—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $163Seahawks $398—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $159Under $360—
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $300Panthers $152—
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
—Mio Mushika $2—Kanon Sawashiro $48
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $157—Florida Atlantic $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $8.9K—Suns $1.1K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $749—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $886—
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $2.2K—Suns $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.8K—Suns $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
——UTSA $1.3KUTSA $1.4K
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $185—
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Katie Swan $847—Katie Swan $1.1K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $489—
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.7K—Suns $258
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $20—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $144—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $7—
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $287Florida Atlantic $736
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
—Tommy Paul $45Tommy Paul $963—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $172Southern Miss $832
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $649Aliaksandra Sasnovich $341—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359No $454—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $155No $413—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $504No $3—