← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | no settled market | 55% (4635–3860, n=8495) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | — | $154K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | — | PM monthly #182 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (44 of 64 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 61% (90 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1079 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 67% of 4851 at avg 68¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% | 27% (won 2% of 1290) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 4% (won 35% of 183) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 59% of 227) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% | 65% (won 97% of 3151) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.