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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FancyiRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–2, n=2)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$56K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus83% (19 of 23 open)58% (90 of 155 open)72% (79 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won82% of 68 at avg 73¢, ROI +8%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 14% of 7)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 50% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 70% of 10)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 98% of 47)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFancyiRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $6.0KBrowns $255K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5—No $88K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $468—No $35K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $423Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $2.7KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4—No $590
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $22KBills $378K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.3K—Yes $272K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.8K—Yes $169K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $20K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $45—Yes $2.2K