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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpOhWhenTheRedsRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)47% (62–71, n=133)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$38K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #713PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (147 of 199 open)no open consensus position62% (37 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 62 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)3% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)48% (won 100% of 30)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)45% (won 100% of 28)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)3% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpOhWhenTheRedsRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13K—Yes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $600—Over $3.3K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $3.3K—Max Hans Rehberg $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 2 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3K—Yes $354
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $241—Sumit Nagal $997
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $287—Ipek Oz $680
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $214—Hornets $124
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188—Cavaliers $52
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13—Under $75
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $12
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6—No $11
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K—No $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $1.9K
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $5.4K—No $1.0K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Over $2.9K
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.5K—No $2.9K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.1K—Over $190
Will FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K—No $157
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7K—Under $255
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $795—No $729
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $514—Zsombor Piros $644
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $231—No $841
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $318—Under $519
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $233—Anastasia Zakharova $393
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $361—Kings $111
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Carlo Alberto Caniato $11—Carlo Alberto Caniato $300
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $42
Exact Score: Antalyaspor 1 - 0 Bursaspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45—Yes $17