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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpOhWhenTheRedsprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)47% (62–71, n=133)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$38K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #713PM monthly #52PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (186 of 246 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)51% (37 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 62 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)3% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)48% (won 100% of 30)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)45% (won 100% of 28)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)3% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpOhWhenTheRedsprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $5.7K——Taylor Fritz $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $351——Over $791
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $268——Ipek Oz $680
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $348——Under $81
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $225——Hornets $116
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $67——Juan Carlos Prado $268
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $232——Under $86
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188——Cavaliers $108
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31——No $12
Will Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $30——Yes $3
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig $8——FC Energie Cottbus $21
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $20K——No $22K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9K——No $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $5.0K——Anastasia Zakharova $12K
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K——Yes $10K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5K——Over $5.9K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $953——No $6.5K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K——No $2.5K
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $1.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $942——No $814
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $383——Over $1.2K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1K——Under $444
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $67——Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104——Under $1.1K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $64——Julia Riera $1.1K
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $727——Yes $303
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $4——No $690
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $469——Under $25
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $357——Kings $110
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
Carlo Alberto Caniato $21——Carlo Alberto Caniato $297
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $284——Under $2
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $42