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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpFakeMadridRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)59% (898–622, n=1520)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$1.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22Hand-pickedPM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (133 of 174 open)no open consensus position61% (38 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22MLB −1 pts, n=37—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%61% of 1441 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)9% (won 16% of 131)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)28% (won 48% of 407)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)35% (won 63% of 502)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)28% (won 85% of 401)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpFakeMadridRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $932—Over $133
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
Alexandre Muller $745—Alexandre Muller $2.3K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $1.4K—Clippers $965
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $811—Quentin Halys $1.2K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Under $398
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $1.5K—Lakers $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $23
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $687—Under $201
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $249—Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116—Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42