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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphaveagooddayndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)37% (1517–2553, n=4070)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$31K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #119PM monthly #139PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (265 of 408 open)76% (178 of 233 open)73% (33 of 45 open)61% (173 of 285 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −3 pts, n=555NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)32% (won 1% of 760)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)4% (won 42% of 101)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)7% (won 63% of 156)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)58% (won 96% of 1382)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

92 on the same side, 54 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphaveagooddayndb1RN1
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $22K——Under $423
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $13K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3K——No $8.8K
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K——No $8.6K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $291——No $8.8K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2K——No $66
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $5.5K——Tomas Machac $2.3K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $60——No $7.7K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.1K——Over $3.1K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $596——No $5.3K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.9K——Over $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.1K——Over $439
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.3K——Under $1.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K——Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.5K——Under $22
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3K——Yes $35
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——No $734
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Over $638
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K——Under $29
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17——No $1.7K
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7K——Under $6
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36——No $1.5K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $39——No $1.5K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713——Over $268
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $896——Under $52
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213——No $677
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $263——Under $470
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $607——Yes $106
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $220——Hawks $426
PSV leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $554——Yes $88
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $329——No $273
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $304——Thunder $273
Exact Score: PSV 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $499——No $41
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $412——Under $22
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $371——No $25
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Barrios
Tomas Barrios $127——Lautaro Midon $260
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $215——Grizzlies $118
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $105——Under $169
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114——Yes $143
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124——Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $123——Over $86
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $140——No $3