← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | kaxel78 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 39% (403–626, n=1029) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $48K | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (186 of 272 open) | 82% (382 of 465 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 56% (99 of 177 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Elections −1 pts, n=175 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 48% of 595 at avg 48¢, ROI +14% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 47% (won 2% of 281) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 5% (won 54% of 28) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 4% (won 54% of 24) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 44% (won 95% of 262) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | kaxel78 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $301 | — | — | No $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $35 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $2.2K | — | — | Pelicans $280 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $2.2K | — | — | Hornets $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $274 | — | — | Under $1.7K |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | — | — | Under $532 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $1.5K | — | — | Grizzlies $123 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | — | Over $138 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | — | No $529 |
| Spread: Thunder (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $880 | — | — | Thunder $17 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $801 | — | — | Over $46 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $632 | — | — | Under $106 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $315 | — | — | Over $235 |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $535 | — | — | Yes $1 |
| Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $507 | — | — | Over $1 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Nuggets $211 | — | — | Raptors $130 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | — | Over $278 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $146 | — | — | Over $85 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $124 | — | — | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $188 | — | — | Suns $6 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $100 | — | — | Over $2 |
| Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | No $6.7K | — | — | No $3.6K |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4.2K | — | — | Under $2.4K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4.9K | — | — | Under $113 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | — | — | Under $255 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $3.9K | — | — | Thunder $35 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.4K | — | — | Under $428 |
| Flames vs. Kraken same side · consensus Flames | Kraken $147 | — | — | Kraken $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $42 | — | — | No $1.3K |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Lakers $1.2K | — | — | Lakers $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $101 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $945 | — | — | Spurs $186 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | — | — | Under $7 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | — | — | Under $17 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $669 | — | — | Under $364 |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | Lakers $802 | — | — | Lakers $17 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $524 | — | — | Raptors $275 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $720 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $431 | — | — | Thunder $270 |
| Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $499 | — | — | No $133 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $470 | — | — | Under $23 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $352 | — | — | Timberwolves $130 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $239 | — | — | Under $46 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $136 | — | — | Under $147 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | — | Yes $162 |