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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpmarvelousmarvinndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)52% (31–29, n=60)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$6.6K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #967PM monthly #95PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (133 of 178 open)no open consensus position71% (52 of 73 open)56% (24 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +49 pts n=25, ROI +50%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 25 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)28% (won 100% of 7)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)72% (won 100% of 18)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)0%44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpmarvelousmarvinndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.5K——Yes $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $600——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $191——Sumit Nagal $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $287——Ipek Oz $680
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $362——Under $481
Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 1 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $189——No $27
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31——No $12
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $16K——Mai Hontama $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4K——Over $128
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $28
Will FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $81
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $211——Zsombor Piros $960
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $543——No $360
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Carlo Alberto Caniato $11——Carlo Alberto Caniato $304
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $42
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $87——Under $9