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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | ryou999 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) | 35% (12–22, n=34) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.2M | $14.8M | $50K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #148 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #685 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (258 of 406 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 66% (161 of 244 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Esports −1 pts, n=18 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 38% of 29 at avg 40¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 45% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 28% (won 50% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 21% (won 67% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 7% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
75 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | ryou999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson | Laura Samson $596 | — | Carole Monnet $9.0K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $484 | — | Under $7.1K | — |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | — | Olympiakós SFP $32 | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $104 | — | No $5.8K | — |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.5K | — | Yes $2.9K | — |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $3.1K | — | Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $3.4K | — | Tomas Machac $1.2K | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.8K | — | Over $14 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| FC Porto leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | Yes $550 | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $118 | — | No $3.0K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $163 | — | No $2.9K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $317 | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 | — |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.0K | — | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | Gonzalo Bueno $1.4K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $645 | — |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.6K | — | Under $22 | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $78 | — | No $1.4K | — |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $370 | — | Under $1.0K | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $215 | — | Over $1.2K | — |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | Leyre Romero Gormaz $10 | — | Solana Sierra $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | No $529 | — |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $213 | — | No $677 | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $10 | — | Over $670 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $237 | — | Hawks $430 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $325 | — | Thunder $273 | — |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $404 | — | Over $5 | — |
| W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin | Oceane Dodin $281 | — | Eva Bennemann $99 | — |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | Anna Siskova $274 | — | Marie Weckerle $55 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $202 | — | Grizzlies $119 | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | Mauricio Echazu $59 | — | Maxwell McKennon $244 | — |
| Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $236 | — | No $27 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $125 | — | Trail Blazers $99 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $116 | — | Over $86 | — |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $21 | — | No $132 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Hawks $30 | — | Wizards $94 | — |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $50 | — | Yes $63 | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $111 | — |
| Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $73 | — | No $28 | — |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $26 | — | No $15 | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $100K | — | No $4.3K | — |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $77K | — | Yes $21K | — |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha | SK Slavia Praha $31K | — | SK Slavia Praha $331 | — |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | No $27K | — | No $907 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini | Matteo Berrettini $7.9K | — | Matteo Berrettini $14K | — |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | Olympiakós SFP $21K | — | Olympiakós SFP $109 | — |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | No $5.3K | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | Under $4.0K | — |